The Seattle Times has write up of the Elway poll which shows Obama leading Romney, but at only 49% over Romney's 41%.
Why is this bad?
1- The poll is among registered voters, not likely voters (about 5% of that 49% won't show up)
2 -The Dick Morris note about undecideds... they NEVER break for the incumbent. Dick Morris lays it down with this quote on the survey: if you were asked "Do you think you will still be married to you spouse in November?" and you answer undecided, that's a horrible omen for the current spouse. Morris backs it up with historical data from every election in the last 30 years.
3. GOP Governor candidate Rob McKenna is leading, meaning the overall tide is no longer in Obama's favor, and aptly against him.
The wonderful truth is, Romney has a decent chance of winning Washington.
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